Societe Generale Research sees a scope for EUR/USD to exceed its year-end target of 1.12.
“Our end-2022 forecast for EUR/USD is 1.12, and we’re conscious that the currency is rising much faster than expected. If
we could get our heads properly around the idea that the energy crisis
is over despite the war in Ukraine rumbling on and Russian gas flows to
Europe having largely dried up, we’d need to raise the forecast to
around 1.20,” SocGen notes.
“No need for a risk premium due to the fragility of gas supplies? No
doubts that the global LNG market can grow in time for next winter? Take
out those concerns and European recession risks melt away, leaving all
the focus on the ECB,” SocGen adds.
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