Opinion: The stock market’s rally was a head fake and the smart money now is with the bears
The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 Index SPX, +0.53%, has fallen below the 4100 level. That is significant because there previously was triple resistance at that level, and when SPX broke out above that level in late January, it seemed as if the next leg of the “new” bull market was underway. […]
Opinion: No ‘soft landing’ is in the cards from Fed rate hikes. Look for recession and a buying opportunity once stock prices decline.
Is the bear market of 2022 over? Are we already in the early innings of the next great bull market? The S&P 500 SPX, -0.16% finished 2022 with a 19% decline (its biggest pullback since 2008). Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.26% lost 8.8% and the Nasdaq COMP, +0.13% tumbled 33%. It’s been […]
Market Update – February 9 – FedSpeak supports USD, but the Bard bombs
FEDSpeak – in virtual union about higher rates (along with Dimon “too early to declare victory vs. inflation”) – Fed Funds terminal rate now 5.122%. USDindex holds at 1-mth highs in flat FX markets, US10yr yield 3.653. Google’s AI the “Bard” bombed (got a wrong answer in a promo demo) – #Alphabet shares tanked -9% […]
Europe’s Money Market Fund Assets See €1.44T in 2021
The total asset of money market funds (MMFs) under European manager’s control stood at €1.44 trillion (tn) in 2021, the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) disclosed in its inaugural market report on European Union MMFs published on Wednesday. The securities market regulator noted that 89% of the funds are domiciled in France, Luxembourg and […]
EURUSD Shifts from Reversal to Range, Market Interest Growing While SPX Ebbs
EURUSD, Range, Futures, Open Interest and Sentiment Talking Points: The Market Perspective: EURUSD Bearish Below 1.0700 As EURUSD is held up by the 50-day SMA with a dearth of high-profile event risk through the rest of this week, it is worth throttling the time frame to evaluate more timely levels A four-hour chart of EURUSD […]
Why Powell’s Latest Comments Shook Up the Market
Yesterday, markets see-sawed while Powell was speaking at the Economic Club in Washington. Risk appetite fluctuated, and the dollar shifted. Less noticed, but perhaps more indicative of the longer-term trends for the dollar and other currency markets, was a steepening of the yield curve. That contributed to supporting commodities and their respective currencies. How much […]
Market Spotlight: Uber's Smooth Ride to Continue?
Uber Up NextOn the back of a slew of major tech names reporting last week, focus this week shifts to ride hailing technology company (and food delivery technology company) Uber. The group has seen three consecutive quarters of earnings misses and traders and investors alike will be watching today to see if Uber can put […]
Midweek Market Overview 07 February 2023
The Dollar rolls into midweek flexing its muscles against its peers on the back of upbeat US Jobs data. Dollar Midway through the week and the Dollar finds itself nearing a one-month high. Factors driving this renewed buying interest can be attributed to firmer US employment data, as well as president Biden and Treasury secretary […]
Daily Market Outlook, February 8, 2023
Daily Market Outlook, February 8, 2023Powell’s Talking Both Sides Of The Street, Investors Climb The Wall of WorryMixed response from Asian equities to Fed Chair Powell’s speech, as Wall Street whipsawed in reaction to what many investors saw as two sided comments regarding the rate path going forward with markets pricing a higher terminal rate, […]
Market Update – February 8 – Markets Mixed Following Powell
Trading Leveraged Products is risky Chair Powell’s comments – cancelled each other out – talked more “disinflation” with “significant declines in inflation.” in 2023 but the surprise 517k NFP he could not explain – adding to the 5-5.25% range argument. Fed Fund futures are now pricing the terminal rate at 5.15% in July. (up from […]