Long-term trend remains tilted to the upside – SocGen
Share: The rally in EUR/USD came to a shuddering halt after the dovish market interpretation of the ECB rate decision. Still, economists at Société Générale note that the long-term points to the upside. Further profit-taking cannot be ruled out “Tactically, further profit-taking cannot be ruled out.” “The ECB may try to correct the […]
Aussie can benefit from the most resilient real growth in G10 – SocGen
Since its low in October, AUD/USD has been recovering strongly. Economists at Société Générale expect the pair to enjoy further gains. China’s growth spark is benefiting Australia “The Chinese reopening remains the dominant macro theme in FX, while AUD/USD performance is strongly linked to Chinese equities.” “China’s growth spark is also benefiting Australia. Both China […]
Decline to persist on a move below 391 – SocGen
EUR/HUF’s correction is set to extend if 391 gives way, analysts at Société Générale report. 404 must be reclaimed to negate the break “The HUF is outperforming in CEE4 this year, and the thawing of relations with the EU means the currency could stay in demand.” “EUR/HUF recently confirmed a Head and Shoulders pattern and […]
EUR/USD closing in on 1.10 but 2y2y rate differentials not keeping up – SocGen
Euro moves one step closer to 1.10. Can EUR/USD have a go at 1.10? Economists at Société Générale discuss the pair’s outlook Hedge funds are not getting carried away “Interestingly, 2y2y forwards (3 bps wider in favour of USD this morning) are not keeping track with the currency. Hedge funds are not getting carried away […]
The rates market thinks EUR/USD can get close to 1.20 – SocGen
Societe Generale Research sees a scope for EUR/USD to exceed its year-end target of 1.12. “Our end-2022 forecast for EUR/USD is 1.12, and we’re conscious that the currency is rising much faster than expected. If we could get our heads properly around the idea that the energy crisis is over despite the war in Ukraine […]
AUD/USD to inch higher gradually towards last August high of 0.7090/0.7130 – SocGen
AUD/USD has broken into 0.70 handle for the first time since August. Economists at Société Générale expect the pair to head toward the 0.7090/0.7130 region. Defending 0.6830 crucial for further up move “AUD/USD has overcome the 200DMA first time since giving it up in April last year; this affirms persistence in upward momentum.” “Defending the Moving […]
USD/CNY unlikely to extend its decline toward 6.30 – SocGen
China FX has front-loaded the China reopening and economists at Société Générale are cautious about chasing a CNY rally. Neutral on Yuan “As USD/CNY has already reversed more than 50% of the rise in 2022, it would be necessary to feed more positive surprises to the market to deepen a CNY rally to the 6.30 […]
125.85/124.00 could be next significant support zone – SocGen
USD/JPY accelerates the downfall to 128.00. The pair could dive as low as 124.00, economists at Société Générale report. Channel at 134/134.80 should cap short-term upside “Daily MACD has flattened recently however signals of an extended bounce are not yet visible.” “The pair is likely to drift towards next projections at 128 and 126.80. Peak […]