Sage Investment Club

BOC Interest Rate Decision: Another Hike?

After its last meeting, the BOC Governor Macklem said that the likely course would be a pause, unless there was a major change in the data. Of course he said it with a lot more words and technical jargon, but that was the essence of the message. Naturally, the markets adjusted the expectation to the […]

ECB’s Rehn sees reasons for ‘significant’ interest rate increases before summer

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Governor of Austria’s central bank Olli Rehn made some comments on the central bank’s interest rates policy during his appearance over the weekend. He said that he sees grounds for “significant interest rate increases from the ECB this winter and the coming spring.” Market reaction EUR/USD is […]

The Week Ahead – Earnings may reveal cost of high interest rates

EURUSD steadies over inflation relief The euro holds steady as inflation slows down. With prices of oil and gas falling back, Europe could put the much-daunted winter behind. Inflation effectively decelerated in the Euro zone in December, which would give policymakers some relief. Easing pressures have triggered expectations that the ECB might […]

GBPUSD Slips But Remains Well Bid On Interest Rate Bets

GBP/USD Prices, News, and Analysis GBPUSD is still supported by expectations that UK rates have higher to climb Strong wage data this week underlines the view Technically, the uptrend from September still dominates Recommended by David Cottle Building Confidence in Trading Sterling bulls still have December’s six-month highs against the United States Dollar firmly in […]

BOJ Interest Rate Decision: Another Surprise?

Yen pairs have been extraordinarily active these last couple of days. Implied volatility in the USDJPY rose to a six-month high. There is a lot of apprehension about what might happen at the BOJ’s interest rate decision overnight. Which is funny, because the consensus among economists and analysts is that there won’t be any change […]

Inflation boosts RBA’s 2023 interest rate outlook

AUDUSD, Daily Australia’s Monthly CPI indicator rose to 7.3% in the year to November, surpassing market forecasts of 7.2% y/y thus fuelling forecasts of further rate hikes in 2023. The most significant contributors to the rise came from housing (+9.6% y/y), food & non-alcoholic beverages (+9.4% y/y), transport (+9.0% y/y), furniture, household appliances & services […]