Why January’s CPI report could deal a massive blow to the stock market
The stock market’s start-of-year rally is poised to fizzle if a highly-anticipated U.S. inflation report on Tuesday dashes hopes for a quicker retreat in the cost of living in America, warned market analysts. The January CPI reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and […]
Spread between 2- and 10-year Treasury yields is on pace for its deepest inversion since October 1981
The Treasury curve, as measured by the spread between 2- and 10-year yields, headed for its deepest inversion in more than 41 years on Thursday. The spread narrowed to as little as minus 87.2 basis points, driven by a drop in the 10-year rate TMUBMUSD10Y, 3.606% while the 2-year rate TMUBMUSD02Y, 4.488% held steady. It’s […]
Deutsche Bank says there’s a 90% chance of recession. But, without one, S&P 500 can get to 5,000.
One of Wall Street’s most pessimistic banks is conceding that the economic outlook has improved. But Deutsche Bank, in a new update of its house view, still says there’s a 90% chance of a U.S. recession this year. It says that while there’s evidence inflation has peaked, it’s still well above central-bank targets and likely […]
U.S. consumer credit grows at slowest pace in two years in sign of economic worries
The numbers: The amount of credit consumers used in December rose by a scant 2.9% — the smallest uptick in more than two years — as Americans tightened their belts in response to a slowing economy. Consumer credit rose by $11.6 billion in the final month of 2022, Federal Reserve data showed. Economists had expected a […]
Gold prices on track to rise for third day as markets cheer dovish Powell
Gold prices advanced on Wednesday for the third straight session as the U.S. dollar softened and Treasury yields declined, helping to bolster the relative attractiveness of the yellow metal. Price action Gold for April delivery GC00, +0.28% GCJ23, +0.28% gained $10.60, or 0.6%, to $1,895 per ounce on Comex. Silver for March delivery SI00, +1.10% […]
No wonder Powell didn’t commit to extra hikes. Here are five reasons the January jobs report may be too good to be true.
Traders took heart that Fed Chair Jerome Powell, when he wasn’t being questioned by David Rubinstein on how he gets by on $190,000 per year, didn’t commit on Tuesday to having to be even more aggressive on interest rates given the huge 517,000 surge in nonfarm payrolls. Powell said rates would have to go even […]
Gold futures end higher, with the U.S. dollar lower in the wake of Powell’s remarks
Gold futures climbed on Tuesday, posting a second straight session gain, with prices finding support from some weakness in the U.S. dollar as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke at the Economic Club of Washington. Powell said that the U.S. jobs report released Friday shows that the Fed needs to keep raising interest rates, but […]
U.S. could be heading into period of ‘transitory disinflation,’ traders and strategists say
Hopes for a further decline in U.S. inflation this year are giving way to a risk seen in some corners of the financial market that any improvement in price gains will turn out to be fleeting.Strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, +1.22% and BofA Securities, along with Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Asset Management, […]
Oil futures get lift on China demand hopes
Oil futures rose Tuesday, finding support as ongoing hopes a revival in crude demand from China run strong. A devastating earthquake that left thousands dead in Turkey and Syria and Turkey’s Ceyhan oil export terminal, with a capacity of 1 million barrels a day, was expected to be closed through Wednesday, Reuters reported. See: How […]
A digital currency is likely to be needed, says U.K. Treasury and Bank of England
The U.K. government said Monday that a digital currency is likely needed, as countries around the world examine the changing nature of payments. A statement issued by both the U.K. Treasury and the Bank of England said they were seeking comments, though they said no decision has yet to be taken. The consultation will run […]