Main scenario: consider long positions above the level of 1.0361 with a target of 1.1020 – 1.1300 once a correction formed.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.0361 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.0240 – 1.0114.
Analysis: a bearish wave of larger degree A is presumably completed on the daily chart, with the fifth wave (5) of А formed as its part. Apparently, an ascending wave B started developing on the H4 chart, with the first counter-trend wave of smaller degree 1 of (A) of B forming as its part. H1 chart: wave iii of 1 is presumably completed, and a local correction continues forming as wave (iv) of 1. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise to the levels of 1.1020 – 1.1300 after correction. The level of 1.0361 is critical in this scenario. Its breakout will allow the pair to continue falling to the levels of 1.0240 – 1.0114.
Price chart of EURUSD in real time mode
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