Sage Investment Club

Next week, the Bank of Canada will have its monetary policy meeting. Analysts at TD Securities expect a 25 basis points rate hike in line with market consensus. They point out the Canadian Dollar (CAD) may not receive much direction bias from the meeting.

Key quotes:

“We look for the BoC to hike by 25bp in January, and we expect this will be the last hike this cycle (though the forward-looking component will not preclude future hikes).”

“While this is expected to be the last hike, the CAD may not receive much directional bias from this meeting as the curve may continue to be biased about looking at the other side of this interest rate cycle. That said, the CAD may be more sensitive to any dovish elements should the BOC emphasize elements from the BOS. We see a differentiated dynamic playing out on the crosses given risk correlations.”

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