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Bitcoin’s mining difficulty, the measure of how difficult it is to find a new block and add it to the blockchain, is set to increase significantly on Jan. 15, 2023, according to current estimates. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s mining difficulty appears to be on track for a 10% increase, rising from 34.09 trillion to an all-time high of 37.57 trillion.
Upcoming Difficulty Retarget to Boost Hashrate Requirements
The leading cryptocurrency network, Bitcoin (BTC), is set to experience a record-setting difficulty increase in three days, on or around Jan. 15, 2023. At the time of writing, the network’s hash rate is at 268.79 exahash per second (EH/s) and the blockchain’s computational power reached an all-time high on Jan. 6, 2023. On that day, at block height 770,709, the network’s hash power reached 361.20 EH/s.
Estimated difficulty change for Jan. 15, 2023, recorded on Jan. 12, 2023 at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time.
Bitcoin block times, also known as block intervals, have been between 8 minutes, 52 seconds, and 9 minutes, 6 seconds in length. The block interval is the average amount of time it takes for a new block to be added to the blockchain, and the network’s difficulty is designed to keep the block time around 10 minutes per block.
The actual time between blocks can vary from this average, and since the last difficulty change on Jan. 2, 2023, at block height 770,112, block intervals have been faster. For this reason, the difficulty retarget on Jan. 15 will be a notable increase, and a rise that has not been recorded since October 2022.

Foundry USA and Antpool Command Nearly Half of Bitcoin’s Global Hashrate
At the time of writing, and up until the next difficulty change, BTC’s network difficulty is approximately 34.09 trillion. This means that, on average, it takes 34 trillion hashes (or attempts) to find a valid BTC block and add it to the blockchain. Currently, analytics sites detail that Bitcoin’s next difficulty change is expected to rise by 10.1% to 10.21% in three days.
At the highest estimate, the difficulty would reach an all-time high of 37.57 trillion, and bitcoin miners would need to exert 37.57 trillion hashes to find a block on the Bitcoin blockchain. Presently, Foundry USA is the top mining pool during the last three days, with 29.57% of the global hashrate. Foundry is followed by Antpool (19.36%), F2pool (16.38%), Binance Pool (8.72%), Viabtc (8.30%), and Braiins Pool (3.40%), respectively. Between Foundry and Antpool, the two pools currently command 48.93% of the network’s total hashrate.

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What do you think about Bitcoin’s upcoming mining difficulty change? Share your thoughts and predictions in the comments below.

Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 6,000 articles for News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.

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