Australian inflation data this week – the RBA will be eyeing it for the February 7 meeting

• This
  snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar, access
  it here.
• The
  times in the left-most column are GMT.
• The
  numbers in the right-most column are the ‘prior’ (previous
  month/quarter as the case may be) result. The number in the column
  next to that, where there is a number, is the consensus median
  expected.

Preview comments (in brief) via National Australia Bank:

• CPI inflation is expected to have peaked in Q4 2022. Lower-than-expected fuel prices and lower-than-feared fruit and vegetable prices despite recent floods mean we now expect 1.6% q/q and a peak of 7.5% y/y, below the RBA’s 8.0% y/y November SoMP forecast. Despite that, we expect the detail to provide little comfort about the inflation backdrop with strong services inflation likely.
• Looking forward, we expected inflation to slow through 2023 (particularly y/y).
• But inflation is broad-based, and the tight labour market and accelerating labour costs and earnings remain. A second year of large electricity price increases is also expected in Q3 2023 CPI.
• Although CPI is important, key for the RBA in being confident in getting inflation back to target will be wages growth with WPI on 22 February. We expect the RBA to hike rates by 25bp on 7 February and in March.