Deutsche Bank says there’s a 90% chance of recession. But, without one, S&P 500 can get to 5,000.
One of Wall Street’s most pessimistic banks is conceding that the economic outlook has improved. But Deutsche Bank, in a new update of its house view, still says there’s a 90% chance of a U.S. recession this year. It says that while there’s evidence inflation has peaked, it’s still well above central-bank targets and likely […]
Gold prices rebound after hitting 3-week low
Gold prices rebounded on Monday after tumbling to their lowest level in three weeks following Friday’s surprisingly strong jobs report, which helped send Treasury yields and the dollar higher to the detriment of the yellow metal. Price action Gold for April delivery GC00, +0.47% GCJ23, +0.47% rose $9.50, or 0.5%, to settle at $1,885 an […]
Investors are ‘desperate’ for a recession that forces the Fed to pivot but what happens to markets if the economy remains healthy this year ?
As 2023 gets underway markets are clinging to expectations that the U.S. economy will slide into a recession that effectively forces the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates, lower bond yields and borrowing costs, and perhaps help stock market valuations. U.S. economic data released over the past few months show that inflation has moderated, […]
Treasury yields pull back to mid-December levels
Treasury yields fell across the board Monday, with the 10-year rate declining to its lowest yield in about three weeks, as investors monitored China’s reopening and awaited remarks this week by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and a round of U.S. inflation data.Price action The yield on the 2-year Treasury note TMUBMUSD02Y, 4.220% fell 6.3 […]