Investors are ‘desperate’ for a recession that forces the Fed to pivot but what happens to markets if the economy remains healthy this year ?
As 2023 gets underway markets are clinging to expectations that the U.S. economy will slide into a recession that effectively forces the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates, lower bond yields and borrowing costs, and perhaps help stock market valuations. U.S. economic data released over the past few months show that inflation has moderated, […]
Tesla is a ‘soft-landing’ stock, says Goldman Sachs. Here are its picks for a gentle slide as well as a rough landing.
Pour one out for the beleaguered economists, who for once got an important indicator, the consumer price index, right on the nose, after CPI fell 0.1% in December, while core prices rose 0.3%. “The 2021 surge in durable goods demand normalized, and the resulting collapse in durable goods price inflation was stunningly fast,” says Paul […]
How the Fed is ‘collapsing’ real estate activity with higher interest rates
U.S. real estate has undergone a dramatic slowdown in transaction activity in the months since the Federal Reserve began jacking up interest rates. Sales of existing homes plunged from peak pandemic levels to about 4.1 million in November (see chart) from over 6 million units sold per year in 2021 as the Fed has dramatically […]
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson warns U.S. stocks could slump another 22% if recession arrives in 2023
U.S. equities could face a sharper-than-expected selloff in 2023 from a recession shock that pushes stocks down another 22% from the current levels, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson. The chief equity strategist, who correctly predicted the 2022 stock-market selloff, which saw all three major indexes cement their worst annual losses since 2008, suggested on […]
The Fed delivered a message to the stock market: Big rallies will prolong pain
It was a “don’t make me come back there” moment from the Federal Reserve.A line from the minutes of the central bank’s December policy meeting released Wednesday afternoon was taken by analysts and economists as a warning to financial market participants that bets on a policy pivot in 2023 aren’t welcome. And, to the extent […]
Credit Acceptance shares tumble 12% after regulators sue, claim illegal subprime auto lending practices
Shares of subprime auto giant Credit Acceptance Corp CACC, -11.61% tumbled about 12% on Wednesday after New York Attorney General Letitia James and a key U.S. consumer watchdog sued the lender, saying it has been illegally tricking low-income borrowers into high-cost car loans that lead to a debt spiral. The lawsuit aims to force Credit […]