Secret to 2023 stock rally? Central banks have provided $1 trillion liquidity boost.
Gains for global equities have left many on Wall Street perplexed as stocks — especially high-risk growth names with little or no profits — have rebounded from last year’s punishing selloff, resisting both the pull of more attractive bond yields, and the threat of higher interest rates. But some Wall Street analysts say they’ve found […]
Risk of ‘wrathful Old Testament–style’ reaction from central banks is rising, JPMorgan says
The “gentle and forgiving path” taken by developed-market central banks to rein in inflation over the past year is likely to prove unsuccessful and trigger the need for more forceful, biblical-type action.That’s the view of economists Bruce Kasman, Joseph Lupton and Michael Hanson of JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, +1.10%, who described the response of […]
Strategist who loves challenging consensus sticks by call for 8% fed-funds rate
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, a former associate with the New York Fed and outlier from the rest of the financial-market pack, is standing by a bold call she made a year ago: She says the Federal Reserve needs to hike its benchmark interest rate to 8%, versus the current level of 4.5%-4.75%, to stabilize inflation and could […]
Opinion: The stock market’s rally was a head fake and the smart money now is with the bears
The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 Index SPX, +0.53%, has fallen below the 4100 level. That is significant because there previously was triple resistance at that level, and when SPX broke out above that level in late January, it seemed as if the next leg of the “new” bull market was underway. […]
Biden says CPI report shows U.S. has made progress on inflation and ‘on the right track’
President Joe Biden on Tuesday said a fresh report on the consumer price index reflected progress but there was still more work to do. “Today’s data reinforces that we have made historic progress and are on the right track, and now we need to finish the job,” he said in a statement. The CPI rose […]
Why January’s CPI report could deal a massive blow to the stock market
The stock market’s start-of-year rally is poised to fizzle if a highly-anticipated U.S. inflation report on Tuesday dashes hopes for a quicker retreat in the cost of living in America, warned market analysts. The January CPI reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and […]
Deutsche Bank says there’s a 90% chance of recession. But, without one, S&P 500 can get to 5,000.
One of Wall Street’s most pessimistic banks is conceding that the economic outlook has improved. But Deutsche Bank, in a new update of its house view, still says there’s a 90% chance of a U.S. recession this year. It says that while there’s evidence inflation has peaked, it’s still well above central-bank targets and likely […]
EURUSD Shifts from Reversal to Range, Market Interest Growing While SPX Ebbs
EURUSD, Range, Futures, Open Interest and Sentiment Talking Points: The Market Perspective: EURUSD Bearish Below 1.0700 As EURUSD is held up by the 50-day SMA with a dearth of high-profile event risk through the rest of this week, it is worth throttling the time frame to evaluate more timely levels A four-hour chart of EURUSD […]
U.S. could be heading into period of ‘transitory disinflation,’ traders and strategists say
Hopes for a further decline in U.S. inflation this year are giving way to a risk seen in some corners of the financial market that any improvement in price gains will turn out to be fleeting.Strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, +1.22% and BofA Securities, along with Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Asset Management, […]
The next few days may reveal whether investors have been riding one big suckers rally, says this strategist.
Stock futures are pointing due south as caution grips investors following Friday’s monster jobs beat. While subject to revisions, that 517,000 surge in U.S. jobs may have shredded hopes among some that the Fed will be done with rate hikes sooner rather than later. “Half a million jobs, climb down off the wall, call the recession […]