Fed’s Goolsbee says this is a ‘strange and unprecedented moment’ for U.S. economy
The U.S. economy is in a strange and unprecedented moment, according to Austan Goolsbee, the new president of the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank. In his first speech since taking office last month, Goolsbee said he had no doubt that the economy will face “bumps in the road.” He gave the speech at an event hosted […]
Risk of ‘wrathful Old Testament–style’ reaction from central banks is rising, JPMorgan says
The “gentle and forgiving path” taken by developed-market central banks to rein in inflation over the past year is likely to prove unsuccessful and trigger the need for more forceful, biblical-type action.That’s the view of economists Bruce Kasman, Joseph Lupton and Michael Hanson of JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, +1.10%, who described the response of […]
Strategist who loves challenging consensus sticks by call for 8% fed-funds rate
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, a former associate with the New York Fed and outlier from the rest of the financial-market pack, is standing by a bold call she made a year ago: She says the Federal Reserve needs to hike its benchmark interest rate to 8%, versus the current level of 4.5%-4.75%, to stabilize inflation and could […]
Opinion: The stock market’s rally was a head fake and the smart money now is with the bears
The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 Index SPX, +0.53%, has fallen below the 4100 level. That is significant because there previously was triple resistance at that level, and when SPX broke out above that level in late January, it seemed as if the next leg of the “new” bull market was underway. […]
Opinion: No ‘soft landing’ is in the cards from Fed rate hikes. Look for recession and a buying opportunity once stock prices decline.
Is the bear market of 2022 over? Are we already in the early innings of the next great bull market? The S&P 500 SPX, -0.16% finished 2022 with a 19% decline (its biggest pullback since 2008). Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.26% lost 8.8% and the Nasdaq COMP, +0.13% tumbled 33%. It’s been […]
Why January’s CPI report could deal a massive blow to the stock market
The stock market’s start-of-year rally is poised to fizzle if a highly-anticipated U.S. inflation report on Tuesday dashes hopes for a quicker retreat in the cost of living in America, warned market analysts. The January CPI reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and […]
Credit Suisse Bank Losses Deepen, Threatening Overhaul: WSJ
Credit Suisse Group AG reported a fifth consecutive quarterly loss and said rich customers withdrew around $100 billion in the fourth quarter, signs that the beleaguered lender has yet to turn the corner. The Swiss bank is trying to recover from scandals and financial losses with a sweeping overhaul. It wants to focus on wealth […]
Kraken Faces SEC Probe over Unregistered Securities Offerings
Cryptocurrency exchange, Kraken, is facing an investigation by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) over concerns about offering digital assets that could qualify as unregistered securities. According to a Bloomberg report, the investigation is already in the advanced stages and could soon result in a settlement. However, neither the regulator nor the cryptocurrency exchange […]
U.S. could be heading into period of ‘transitory disinflation,’ traders and strategists say
Hopes for a further decline in U.S. inflation this year are giving way to a risk seen in some corners of the financial market that any improvement in price gains will turn out to be fleeting.Strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, +1.22% and BofA Securities, along with Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Asset Management, […]
Why the 2023 stock market rally may depend on further U.S. dollar weakness
The U.S. dollar may be losing its appeal as one of the few reliable safe-haven assets in times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty after an 18 month rally, but a further fall by the currency could fuel a 2023 stock-market rally, market analysts said.The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +1.22% fell to a nine-month low […]