Secret to 2023 stock rally? Central banks have provided $1 trillion liquidity boost.
Gains for global equities have left many on Wall Street perplexed as stocks — especially high-risk growth names with little or no profits — have rebounded from last year’s punishing selloff, resisting both the pull of more attractive bond yields, and the threat of higher interest rates. But some Wall Street analysts say they’ve found […]
Risk of ‘wrathful Old Testament–style’ reaction from central banks is rising, JPMorgan says
The “gentle and forgiving path” taken by developed-market central banks to rein in inflation over the past year is likely to prove unsuccessful and trigger the need for more forceful, biblical-type action.That’s the view of economists Bruce Kasman, Joseph Lupton and Michael Hanson of JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, +1.10%, who described the response of […]
Strategist who loves challenging consensus sticks by call for 8% fed-funds rate
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, a former associate with the New York Fed and outlier from the rest of the financial-market pack, is standing by a bold call she made a year ago: She says the Federal Reserve needs to hike its benchmark interest rate to 8%, versus the current level of 4.5%-4.75%, to stabilize inflation and could […]
Why January’s CPI report could deal a massive blow to the stock market
The stock market’s start-of-year rally is poised to fizzle if a highly-anticipated U.S. inflation report on Tuesday dashes hopes for a quicker retreat in the cost of living in America, warned market analysts. The January CPI reading from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and […]
Why the 2023 stock market rally may depend on further U.S. dollar weakness
The U.S. dollar may be losing its appeal as one of the few reliable safe-haven assets in times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty after an 18 month rally, but a further fall by the currency could fuel a 2023 stock-market rally, market analysts said.The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +1.22% fell to a nine-month low […]
The stock-market rally survived a confusing week. Here’s what comes next.
Despite a Friday stumble, stocks ended a turbulent week with another round of solid gains, keeping 2023’s young but robust stock-market rally very much alive.But a cloud of confusion also sets over the market, and it will eventually need to be resolved, strategists said. Stocks rose early in the week as traders continued to bet […]
A pre-jobs data bet may have have netted trader $10 million profit, report says
A big fed-funds futures bet placed just before the release of what turned out to be a blowout U.S. January jobs report may have netted a trader a profit north of $10 million, Bloomberg reported Friday. The trader sold the January 2024 fed-funds futures contract FFF24, -0.26%, the report said, with the trade completed through […]
This trader nailed two big market calls in 2022. She says investors are ‘being paid to wait’ so should steer clear of stocks for 2023.
Ahead of major tech earnings, Meta results are ready to light up the Nasdaq Composite COMP for Thursday. The S&P 500 SPX is also pointing to gains as investors take a glass-half full view of the Fed meeting. Worried that investors are in the clutches of another Fed misread is the founder of LaDucTrading.com, Samantha LaDuc. “The […]
S&P 500 nears first ‘golden cross’ in 2.5 years, but this doesn’t guarantee more gains ahead
The S&P 500 is on the verge of achieving its first “golden cross” in two-and-a-half years, but that doesn’t mean stocks are destined for more gains over the coming year. The golden-cross indicator is used by technical analysts as a sign that a particular upward trend in markets or currencies is gaining momentum. Barring a […]
Fed rate cuts always lead to stock-market gains — but this one thing must happen too, veteran Wall Street strategist says
It’s way too early to proclaim a Goldilocks environment, even if major asset classes are at least pointing to a better chance of it. The S&P 500 SPX has gained 5% this year, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite COMP is up 8%, even with a seemingly daily stream of job-cut announcements. Stay tuned Thursday to […]