U.S. industrial output falls sharply in December, sparking talk of factory ‘recession’
The number: U.S. industrial production fell 0.7% in December, the Federal Reserve reported Wednesday. It is the biggest monthly decline since September 2021. The decline was steeper than economists expectations of a 0.1% decline, according to a survey by The Wall Street Journal. Output in November was revised down to a 0.6% drop, much worse […]
Wall Street’s ‘fear gauge’ flashes warning that stocks might be headed off a cliff
Wall Street’s fear gauge has fallen to its lowest level in months, and Wall Street strategists are concerned it could be a warning that the latest stock-market rally is coming to an end. Specifically, they’re worried that the low level of the Cboe Volatility Index, otherwise known as “the VIX,” suggests that investors may have […]
The most unpopular portfolio in America wins in 2022 — again
Yes, Pariah Capital has beaten Wall Street. Yet again.Before fees, too.Oh, and we’re willing to make a semi-serious bet we will do it again in 2023. Pariah Capital is the exclusive free money advice service offered to our readers by MarketWatch. To reach our target asset allocation for the year ahead, we tap the finest […]
Dow sheds nearly 400 points as U.S stocks finish mostly lower after Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley earnings
U.S. stocks ended mostly lower on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapping a four-day win streak after Goldman Sachs reported poor earnings results. The S&P 500 also ended lower, but the Nasdaq Composite eked out a gain as investors focused on whether the early 2023 rally has legs.How stocks traded The S&P 500 […]
Investors are ‘desperate’ for a recession that forces the Fed to pivot but what happens to markets if the economy remains healthy this year ?
As 2023 gets underway markets are clinging to expectations that the U.S. economy will slide into a recession that effectively forces the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates, lower bond yields and borrowing costs, and perhaps help stock market valuations. U.S. economic data released over the past few months show that inflation has moderated, […]
Small-cap stocks outperform so far in 2023 as U.S. equities book second week of gains this year
Small-cap stocks are outperforming large-cap U.S. equities this year, in an upbeat start to 2023 after suffering steep losses last year. The Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap stocks in the U.S., was up 7.1% this year through Friday, according to FactSet data. That beats the 4.2% gain for the S&P 500, a gauge of […]
How the Fed is ‘collapsing’ real estate activity with higher interest rates
U.S. real estate has undergone a dramatic slowdown in transaction activity in the months since the Federal Reserve began jacking up interest rates. Sales of existing homes plunged from peak pandemic levels to about 4.1 million in November (see chart) from over 6 million units sold per year in 2021 as the Fed has dramatically […]
Why value stocks may not repeat their vast 2022 outperformance in 2023
Are so-called value stocks still living up to their name? Some aren’t so sure. After more than a decade of lackluster returns, the value factor beat the broader market and outperformed rival growth stocks in 2022 by the widest margin since 2000. Still, both broad categories suffered sizable declines during a bear market that sent […]
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson warns U.S. stocks could slump another 22% if recession arrives in 2023
U.S. equities could face a sharper-than-expected selloff in 2023 from a recession shock that pushes stocks down another 22% from the current levels, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson. The chief equity strategist, who correctly predicted the 2022 stock-market selloff, which saw all three major indexes cement their worst annual losses since 2008, suggested on […]
Look for a big cut to TSMC’s 2023 outlook as a bullish sign for chips, one analyst says ahead of earnings
The best thing Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. can do in its earnings report Thursday is to cut its outlook for 2023 big, indicating a bottoming in the first half of the year, according to one analyst Monday. TSMC TSM, +3.87% is scheduled to report fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday at 1 a.m. Eastern Time. Needham analyst […]