Weak euro zone data point to cracks in recovery as inflation lingers
Bloc’s retail sales rebounded only feebly in JanuaryConstruction still contracted, sector’s PMI showedSurprise fall in morale in March’s Sentix indexExpect more ECB rate hikes after March, says LaneBig nations’ inflation rose in Feb, data showed last weekFRANKFURT, March 6 (Reuters) – The euro zone’s economic recovery is tentative and fragile, several indicators suggested on Monday, […]
BIS urges central banks to ‘get the job done’
LONDON, Feb 27 (Reuters) – Central banks need to “get the job done” when it comes to getting inflation back under control, the Bank for International Settlements has said, urging them to avoid the mistakes of the 1970’s by declaring victory too early.The BIS, dubbed the bank for central banks, said it was vital authorities […]
Long-term trend remains tilted to the upside – SocGen
Share: The rally in EUR/USD came to a shuddering halt after the dovish market interpretation of the ECB rate decision. Still, economists at Société Générale note that the long-term points to the upside. Further profit-taking cannot be ruled out “Tactically, further profit-taking cannot be ruled out.” “The ECB may try to correct the […]
Another 50 bps rate raise due in March – UOB
Share: Economist at UOB Group Lee Sue Ann assesses the latest ECB event on February 2. Key Takeaways “The European Central Bank (ECB), at its first meeting of the year, lifted interest rates by 50bps. It also gave more details on how it intends to shrink its EUR5tn bond portfolio, reaffirming a monthly […]
ECB Visco says further tightening can continue with caution, regard to steps already taken
Ignazio Visco is Governor of the Bank of Italy and thus a European Central Bank Governing Council member. He spoke over the weekend in front of Italy’s Assiom-Forex financial markets association.: “The policy tightening can now continue with the due caution, carefully assessing the implications for the economy and inflation prospects of the measures that […]
Interest rate differentials point to a higher EUR/USD – Nordea
EUR/USD came briefly above 1.10 this week before falling to just below 1.09 today. Economists at Nordea note that the rate differentials continue to point toward a higher EUR/USD ahead. EUR/USD to move about sideways in the near term “Given that the ECB has had room for more positive rate surprises than the Fed, a […]
Crucial Takeaways from the FED, BoE and ECB
Major Central Bank Roundup and Analysis Fed: The Fed still has questions around softer inflation but markets call its bluff Bank of England hints at a rate pause but keeps the door open to further hikes if required A unified ECB calls for multiple 50 bps hikes after this one as core inflation refuses to […]
Crude Oil Price Under the Pump in the Face of Fed, ECB and BoE Hikes. Lower WTI?
Crude Oil, US Dollar, WTI, Brent, FOMC, Fed, BoE, ECB. OPEC+ China – Talking Points Crude oil prices have found some support after a tumultuous week The Fed, BoE and ECB tightening has raised recession concerns OPEC+ maintain its target while China resurfaces. Where to for WTI? Recommended by Daniel McCarthy Get Your Free Oil […]
Market Spotlight: EURUSD Balloons on FOMC – ECB Up Next
Fed – ECB Divergence GrowingEURUSD exploded higher in response to the FOMC yesterday. With the Fed having pivoted further, opting for a .25% hike, there is now growing divergence between the Fed and the ECB. The Fed is now widely expected to bring its tightening operations to a close by the summer while the ECB […]
Dollar Rebounds after Fed, ECB Meeting but the Rally may Prove Fleeting
The Fed hiked the interest rate by 25 basis points yesterday and hinted that there will be another hike, after which it will likely be done with tightening. Despite worries about inflation, Powell said at the press conference that the committee believes it is necessary to slow down the pace of monetary tightening. Market indicators […]