Sage Investment Club

Why the 2023 stock market rally may depend on further U.S. dollar weakness

The U.S. dollar may be losing its appeal as one of the few reliable safe-haven assets in times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty after an 18 month rally, but a further fall by the currency could fuel a 2023 stock-market rally, market analysts said.The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +1.22% fell to a nine-month low […]

Wall Street to Jerome Powell: We don’t believe you

Do you want the good news about the Federal Reserve and its chairman, Jerome Powell; the other good news; or the bad news? Let’s start with the first bit of good news. Powell and his fellow monetary-policy-committee members just lifted short-term interest rates another quarter of a percentage point to 4.75%, which means retirees and […]

A pre-jobs data bet may have have netted trader $10 million profit, report says

A big fed-funds futures bet placed just before the release of what turned out to be a blowout U.S. January jobs report may have netted a trader a profit north of $10 million, Bloomberg reported Friday. The trader sold the January 2024 fed-funds futures contract FFF24, -0.26%, the report said, with the trade completed through […]

U.S. employment costs rise more slowly, but still too fast for Fed comfort

The numbers: The U.S. employment cost index rose more slowly at the end of 2022 for the third quarter in a row, but worker compensation still rose a sharp 1% and didn’t offer much comfort to the Federal Reserve as it fights to tame inflation. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a […]

The Fed and the stock market are set for a showdown this week. What’s at stake.

Let’s get ready to rumble.The Federal Reserve and investors appear to be locked in what one veteran market watcher has described as an epic game of “chicken.” What Fed Chair Jerome Powell says Wednesday could determine the winner. Here’s the conflict. Fed policy makers have steadily insisted that the fed-funds rate, now at 4.25% to […]

U.S. Debt Ceiling and Forex Market: Insights for Potential Q1 Gains

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