Wall Street’s ‘fear gauge’ flashes warning that stocks might be headed off a cliff
Wall Street’s fear gauge has fallen to its lowest level in months, and Wall Street strategists are concerned it could be a warning that the latest stock-market rally is coming to an end. Specifically, they’re worried that the low level of the Cboe Volatility Index, otherwise known as “the VIX,” suggests that investors may have […]
Treasury yields fall after BOJ keeps ultra-loose monetary policy
Treasury yields slipped after the Bank of Japan maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy late Tuesday and as traders eyed a batch of U.S. economic updates due Wednesday.What’s happening The yield on the 2-year Treasury TMUBMUSD02Y, 4.160% slipped by 2.6 basis points to 4.186%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury TMUBMUSD10Y, 3.459% retreated 6.4 basis points […]
The most unpopular portfolio in America wins in 2022 — again
Yes, Pariah Capital has beaten Wall Street. Yet again.Before fees, too.Oh, and we’re willing to make a semi-serious bet we will do it again in 2023. Pariah Capital is the exclusive free money advice service offered to our readers by MarketWatch. To reach our target asset allocation for the year ahead, we tap the finest […]
Dow sheds nearly 400 points as U.S stocks finish mostly lower after Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley earnings
U.S. stocks ended mostly lower on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapping a four-day win streak after Goldman Sachs reported poor earnings results. The S&P 500 also ended lower, but the Nasdaq Composite eked out a gain as investors focused on whether the early 2023 rally has legs.How stocks traded The S&P 500 […]
How a ‘triple-barreled buy signal’ and other green flags could send the S&P 500 20% higher, says this money manager
A holiday-shortened week is looking like it will get off to a lower start, as China landed some weak growth numbers and more earnings roll out. That’s after two positive weeks to start 2023. But there’s more than a whiff of bullishness in the air, according to our call of the day, from investment research […]
Morgan Stanley cuts U.S. dollar forecasts lower
The U.S. dollar is going to drop further, Morgan Stanley strategists said over the weekend as they became more optimistic about the global economy. They now see the DXY dollar index DXY, +0.20% ending the year at 98, from a previous forecast of 104. They see the euro EURUSD, -0.19% climbing to $1.15, vs. a […]
As U.S. dollar stumbles, Japanese yen is ‘hottest story in town’. Here’s why.
It’s the comeback currency. The Japanese yen, among the world’s worst-performing major currencies in 2022, roared back to a seven-month high versus a now-reeling U.S. dollar on Friday, as traders bet the Bank of Japan will finally join other major central banks in tightening monetary policy. A December reading Thursday on U.S. inflation that was […]
Investors are ‘desperate’ for a recession that forces the Fed to pivot but what happens to markets if the economy remains healthy this year ?
As 2023 gets underway markets are clinging to expectations that the U.S. economy will slide into a recession that effectively forces the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates, lower bond yields and borrowing costs, and perhaps help stock market valuations. U.S. economic data released over the past few months show that inflation has moderated, […]
Small-cap stocks outperform so far in 2023 as U.S. equities book second week of gains this year
Small-cap stocks are outperforming large-cap U.S. equities this year, in an upbeat start to 2023 after suffering steep losses last year. The Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap stocks in the U.S., was up 7.1% this year through Friday, according to FactSet data. That beats the 4.2% gain for the S&P 500, a gauge of […]
Oil futures score a weekly gain of more than 8% as China’s economic reopening boosts demand prospects
Oil futures on Friday posted a gain of more than 8% for the week, supported by optimism over demand from China as the country lifts its strict COVID-19 curbs and reopens its economy. Price action West Texas Intermediate crude for February delivery CL00, +1.94% CL.1, +1.94% CLG23, +1.94% rose $1.47, or 1.9%, to settle at […]