Sage Investment Club

Treasury yields pull back to mid-December levels

Treasury yields fell across the board Monday, with the 10-year rate declining to its lowest yield in about three weeks, as investors monitored China’s reopening and awaited remarks this week by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and a round of U.S. inflation data.Price action The yield on the 2-year Treasury note TMUBMUSD02Y, 4.220% fell 6.3 […]

Globalization is not dead, but it is facing a big tail-risk, expert says

Reports that globalization is dead are overstated, a top economist says. Conventional wisdom has it that globalization will suffer in the aftermath of the pandemic and Russia’s war in Ukraine. The Biden White House’s move to reshore manufacturing and to deny China access to advanced technologies are seen as further steps away from a robust […]

Fed’s Bullard says 2023 on track to be a ‘disinflationary year’

High U.S. inflation is likely to recede in 2023 thanks to aggressive Federal Reserve efforts to raise interest rates and cool off the economy, a senior central bank official said. James Bullard, president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve, said higher rates should help curb inflation by slowing the economy and reducing the demand for […]

The Fed delivered a message to the stock market: Big rallies will prolong pain

It was a “don’t make me come back there” moment from the Federal Reserve.A line from the minutes of the central bank’s December policy meeting released Wednesday afternoon was taken by analysts and economists as a warning to financial market participants that bets on a policy pivot in 2023 aren’t welcome. And, to the extent […]

Fed’s Kashkari backs interest rate hikes ‘at least the next few meetings’

The Federal Reserve should keep raising its policy interest rate until it is confident inflation has peaked and that means interest rate hikes “at least at the next few meetings,” said Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Wednesday. In an essay published on his regional bank’s website, Kashkari said that he has projected that the […]