Fed’s Goolsbee says this is a ‘strange and unprecedented moment’ for U.S. economy
The U.S. economy is in a strange and unprecedented moment, according to Austan Goolsbee, the new president of the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank. In his first speech since taking office last month, Goolsbee said he had no doubt that the economy will face “bumps in the road.” He gave the speech at an event hosted […]
Risk of ‘wrathful Old Testament–style’ reaction from central banks is rising, JPMorgan says
The “gentle and forgiving path” taken by developed-market central banks to rein in inflation over the past year is likely to prove unsuccessful and trigger the need for more forceful, biblical-type action.That’s the view of economists Bruce Kasman, Joseph Lupton and Michael Hanson of JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, +1.10%, who described the response of […]
Strategist who loves challenging consensus sticks by call for 8% fed-funds rate
Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, a former associate with the New York Fed and outlier from the rest of the financial-market pack, is standing by a bold call she made a year ago: She says the Federal Reserve needs to hike its benchmark interest rate to 8%, versus the current level of 4.5%-4.75%, to stabilize inflation and could […]
Opinion: The stock market’s rally was a head fake and the smart money now is with the bears
The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 Index SPX, +0.53%, has fallen below the 4100 level. That is significant because there previously was triple resistance at that level, and when SPX broke out above that level in late January, it seemed as if the next leg of the “new” bull market was underway. […]
Opinion: No ‘soft landing’ is in the cards from Fed rate hikes. Look for recession and a buying opportunity once stock prices decline.
Is the bear market of 2022 over? Are we already in the early innings of the next great bull market? The S&P 500 SPX, -0.16% finished 2022 with a 19% decline (its biggest pullback since 2008). Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.26% lost 8.8% and the Nasdaq COMP, +0.13% tumbled 33%. It’s been […]
Deutsche Bank says there’s a 90% chance of recession. But, without one, S&P 500 can get to 5,000.
One of Wall Street’s most pessimistic banks is conceding that the economic outlook has improved. But Deutsche Bank, in a new update of its house view, still says there’s a 90% chance of a U.S. recession this year. It says that while there’s evidence inflation has peaked, it’s still well above central-bank targets and likely […]
U.S. consumer credit grows at slowest pace in two years in sign of economic worries
The numbers: The amount of credit consumers used in December rose by a scant 2.9% — the smallest uptick in more than two years — as Americans tightened their belts in response to a slowing economy. Consumer credit rose by $11.6 billion in the final month of 2022, Federal Reserve data showed. Economists had expected a […]
U.S. could be heading into period of ‘transitory disinflation,’ traders and strategists say
Hopes for a further decline in U.S. inflation this year are giving way to a risk seen in some corners of the financial market that any improvement in price gains will turn out to be fleeting.Strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM, +1.22% and BofA Securities, along with Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Asset Management, […]
Market Rally Stirs Concerns It Could Feed Inflation
MarketsFinanceEconomists disagree about importance of market-driven financial conditions relative to Fed’s interest rates Source link
The next few days may reveal whether investors have been riding one big suckers rally, says this strategist.
Stock futures are pointing due south as caution grips investors following Friday’s monster jobs beat. While subject to revisions, that 517,000 surge in U.S. jobs may have shredded hopes among some that the Fed will be done with rate hikes sooner rather than later. “Half a million jobs, climb down off the wall, call the recession […]