Scope for a fall to 3200 – Barclays
Despite 2022’s drawdown, analysts at Barclays believe that global equity markets have room to drop further. Cash should be the real winner of 2023 “We observe that US stocks tend to bottom out 30-35% below peak in the middle of a recession. That suggests fair value of 3200 on the S&P500 sometime in H1 23. […]
Considerable upside in Yen vs. US Dollar – TDS
Economists at TD Securities think the Yen will trade with an asymmetric bias that is tilted to the upside. EUR/JPY: Downside towards 130 in the coming months is likely “With the Fed ceding leadership on policy to the ECB and the BoJ, JPY trading bias remains asymmetric and with considerable room for gains.” “We expect […]
Consumer Confidence rises in January buy it may not translate into a spending surge – Wells Fargo
Data released on Friday showed a significant increase in Consumer Confidence in January according to the preliminary report from the University of Michigan. Analysts at Wells Fargo point out the 64.6 reading for consumer sentiment in January marks the top print in the past year. The see that the relief on the inflation front and […]
Levels below 120.00 are plausible for later this year – MUFG
According to analysts at MUFG Bank, the Japanese Yen is set to gain further ground on the back of monetary policy expectations from the Bank of Japan. They consider possible a slide under 120.00 for later in 2023. Key quotes: “USD/JPY has fallen further still today and is now 15.5% down from the peak on […]
Room for the Euro to extend the move higher – MUFG
Analysts at MUFG Bank have a bullish outlook for the EUR/CHF cross, considering it could benefit from a further scaling back of fears over recession in the Eurozone. Key quotes: “After trading within a narrow range between 0.9800 and 0.9950 throughout most of Q4, the pair has broken higher in recent days as it first […]
U.S Banks BAC, WFC and JPM Launch Earnings Season
U.S. EARNINGS ANALYSIS AND TALKING POINTS Banks bolster net reserves showing concerns around the 2023 macro-economic outlook. NII improves for BAC, WFC and JPM but weaker IB limits upside. Recommended by Warren Venketas Get Your Free Equities Forecast U.S. banks in general have kicked off 2023 in the green with JPMorgan (JPM), Bank of America […]
Wells Fargo, once the No. 1 mortgage player, steps back from business
Wells Fargo is stepping back from the multitrillion-dollar market for U.S. mortgages amid regulatory pressure and the impact of higher interest rates.Instead of its previous goal of reaching as many Americans as possible, the company will now focus on home loans for existing bank and wealth management customers and borrowers in minority communities, CNBC has […]
Debate about the SARB’s autonomy is causing pressure on ZAR – Commerzbank
The Rand has come under pressure since the start of the week. Debates about a South African central bank’s change of mandate are pounding the ZAR, economists at Commerzbank report. Debates about a change of the SARB mandate “The plans of the governing party ANC are causing uncertainty amongst ZAR investors. They fear for the […]
XAU/USD could skyrocket to $2,300 on a move beyond highs at $2,070/2,075 – Credit Suisse
Gold has started 2023 strongly. Strategists at Credit Suisse do not rule out a strong surge to the $2,300 mark. Break below $1,729 to turn the risk back lower “We look for further tactical gains to test the 61.8% retracement of the 2022 fall and June 2022 high at $1,876/96, which ideally caps for now. […]
Positive developments for the Pound, more of this as the year unfolds– MUFG
In the view of economists at MUFG Bank, we may have reached “peak pessimism” for the UK and the Pound. Therefore, the outlook in 2023 is somewhat brighter. Positive developments emerging “Much greater political stability this year than last is one factor here and we can very likely assume that PM Sunak will bring greater […]