FOMC will be cautious in reading too much into the magnitude of January’s NFP – Wells Fargo
The data published on Friday by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 517K in January, well above market consensus. The numbers triggered a rally of the US dollar. Analysts at Wells Fargo point out that there is still plenty of additional economic data between now and the March […]
Poor UK fundamentals to be a drag on the Pound – Rabobank
Strategists at Rabobank point out that the change in the Bank of England’s language favours the doves, they see scope for further rate rises. They continue to expect poor United Kingdom fundamentals to be a drag on the British Pound. Key quotes: “The USD has found further traction on the back of the January […]
US Dollar to weaken this year, with periods of volatility and bouts of strength – MUFG
The US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened further in January after a sharp sell-off in Q4 last year. Economists at MUFG Bank see a weaker USD but do not expect a linear straight-line weakening trend. Weaker USD as Fed hiking work nearly complete “The lion’s share of the tightening has now been completed by the Fed […]
Despite the rebound, the breadth of services expansion has still slowed – Wells Fargo
The ISM Service PMI released on Friday showed the index rose back above 50, into expansion territory. Analysts at Wells Fargo, point out that after just a single month under 50, the services ISM shot back up into expansion. However, they warn the breadth of services expansion has still slowed. Key quotes: “The slowdown in […]
XAU/USD could suffer a correction in the next few weeks – Commerzbank
Gold climbed above $1,950 following the Fed meeting. Economists at Commerzbank expect the yellow metal to shed some of its gains in the next few weeks. Sceptical view of ETF investors “Short-term investors are pricing in an upcoming end to the rate hike cycle and rate cuts in the near future. We do not rule […]
AUD/USD is seen navigating within 0.7000-0.7135 – UOB
In the opinion of UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang, AUD/USD could now trade between 0.7000 and 0.7135 in the short term. Key Quotes 24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that ‘the sharp and rapid rise appears to be overdone but AUD could rise above 0.7170 first before easing’. AUD […]
BOJ Gov Kuroda says the Bank’s paper loss from bond holdings was 8.8tln yen at end-2022
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Downside risks dominate in Sterling – Commerzbank
Everything is pointing towards tough times in the UK. Therefore, economists at Commerzbank expect Sterling to remain under pressure. Not much upside for Sterling “Little has changed about Sterling’s fundamental environment. The economic situation remains dire, inflation risks high and the BoE intent on navigating these troubled waters.” “We consider the likelihood of the BoE […]
USD/CHF extends Fed-inflicted losses towards 0.9020 support, central banks, US NFP eyed
USD/CHF prints three-day downtrend as sellers flirt with 18-month low. Fed drowned US Dollar with dovish hike, downbeat US data also favor USD/CHF bears. Monetary policy decision from ECB, BoE could escalate market volatility, making them important to watch. US jobs report eyed as Fed Chair Powell showed readiness to cut the rates. USD/CHF remains […]
Global investment banks project jump in yuan in 2023 By Reuters
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration taken February 10, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration SHANGHAI (Reuters) – Global investment banks have raised their forecasts for the this year on expectations the country’s economic reopening and Beijing’s decision to relax property sector curbs will trigger strong capital inflows. The bullish forecasts follow […]